You're Either In Or You're Out. Right Now.

Two weeks left in the regular season. One week left until March. Let the Madness begin.

This is the only time of year that you will hear the words "Big Ten" and "mess" in the same sentence. No, we're not talking about football. Every team in the Big Ten has a winning record, except for Indiana. Technically, all ten of those teams are eligible for post-season play. Who will get in? Who won't? Here's a quick run-down:

LOCKS: Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois.
MAYBE NEXT YEAR: Northwestern, Iowa, Indiana

If that's true, five teams are going to battle it out to get in the Big Dance. Who is in and who is out? (RPI and SOS courtesy of realtimeRPI.com)

Minnesota
Record: 20-7 (8-7 Big Ten)
RPI: .597
SOS: 48
Key Wins: Louisville, Illinois
Key Losses: at Northwestern
Remaining Games: at Illinois (Feb. 26), Wisconsin (March 3/4/5), Michigan (March 7/8)
Verdict: In. Minnesota isn't going to wow anybody in March. This is what you get. They were a perfect 12-0 in non-conference, with all but their win over Louisville coming against relatively "cupcake" teams. During conference play, they've been as advertised. They've won at home and lost on the road. Still, Tubby Smith and Gophers should be a safe bet.

Penn State
Record: 19-8 (8-6 Big Ten)
RPI: .574
SOS: 85
Key Wins: at Michigan State, at Illinois, Purdue, Minnesota
Key Losses: Rhode Island, Temple
Remaining Games: at Ohio State (Feb. 24), Indiana (Feb. 28), Illinois (March 4/5), at Iowa (March 7)
Verdict: In. The way Penn State has played this year, the way they continue to quiet doubters, it would be very difficult for the selection committee to keep Ed DeChellis' hard-working bunch out of the Big Dance. Yes, their strength-of-schedule isn't that good (last in the Big Ten), but they proven they can play with the big boys. Be weary of this final stretch, though. Penn State cannot falter in their final four games, but if they split, I think they'll be in good shape.

Ohio State
Record: 17-8 (7-7 Big Ten)
RPI: .600
SOS: 34
Key Wins: Butler, Purdue
Key Losses: West Virginia, at Northwestern
Remaining Games: Penn State (Feb. 24), at Purdue (Feb. 28), at Iowa (March 3), Northwestern (March 8)
Verdict: Out. Ohio State's early-season victories over Notre Dame and Miami (FL) don't seem to carry as much weight anymore. The Buckeyes have lost three straight and show their youth out on the floor more often than not. They need to win three of the last four games and have a good outing in the Big Ten Tournament if they want to go dancing.

Michigan
Record: 17-11 (7-8 Big Ten)
RPI: .586
SOS: 17
Key Wins: UCLA, Duke, Illinois, Minnesota
Key Losses: at Iowa, Ohio State, at Ohio State
Remaining Games: Purdue (Feb. 26), at Wisconsin (March 1), at Minnesota (March 7/8)
Verdict: Out. Michigan's dreams of making the tournament may have been washed away in their 70-60 overtime loss to Iowa Feb. 22. They've played a tough non-conference schedule and their remaining road is tough, but if they can win two of the last three, they might have hope.

Wisconsin
Record: 17-10 (8-7 Big Ten)
RPI: .609
SOS: 6
Key Wins: at Virginia Tech, Illinois, at Penn State
Key Losses: at Northwestern, at Iowa
Remaining Games: Michigan (March 1), at Minnesota (March 3/4/5), Indiana (March 7/8)
Verdict: In. They're a hot-and-cold team, but they've also played their fair share of tough opponents (Connecticut, at Marquette, Texas -- all losses). Despite their loss against Michigan State Sunday, Wisconsin is playing some of the best basketball in the conference. Their three remaining games are all winnable ones, plus their track record in the Big Ten Tournament is very good, which should be safe to earn the Badgers yet another NCAA Tournament berth.

I've got six teams getting in. That could change. What do you think?